Athletic Bilbao Logo
Athletic Bilbao
:
FC Barcelona FC Barcelona Logo
D
L
W
W
W
L
W
W
D
W
25.05.2025 - 21:00
Spanien Primera Division
1 75.00
X 12.00
2 2.15

Expert tip for Athletic Bilbao - FC Barcelona with odds & predictions

Matchday 38 in La Liga: Successful championship party by and with Barca?

Hosts Athletic Bilbao and FC Barcelona have arranged to meet for the championship party on Sunday (May 25, 2025) from 9 pm at San Mames Barria. We wanted to know which team is more likely to come out on top in this very last match of the Primera Division 2024/25 with a precise betting tip analysis. In this prediction, you can find the best odds from the betting providers, our expert tips and the AI prediction of the artificial intelligence for the 38th matchday in Spain's La Liga.

Athletic Bilbao - FC Barcelona: 25.05.2025 - 21:00
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Athletic Bilbao

  • Athletic Bilbao have the best defense in La Liga with only 26 goals conceded.
  • In addition, the Bases have only lost five games, the fewest of all 20 first division teams.
  • In eleven of the last twelve games in La Liga, the Under 2.5 goals was always scored.

FC Barcelona

  • FC Barcelona have already collected 27 trebles, the most wins in the championship.
  • This was also made possible by the strong offense, which has already scored no fewer than 99 goals.
  • After six wins in a row, the Catalans lost 3-2 to Villarreal last weekend.
Result tip
1:0
Bilbao's motivation to give the champions another run for their money is likely to be greater than that of the Catalans. Athletic's strong defense and the fact that they have conceded the fewest defeats in the Primera Division speak in their favour.
Racket Primera Division
#Place Team WGames WWins DDraw LDefeats GoalsGoals +/- PointsPoints
1 FC Barcelona 38 28 4 6 102:39 63 88
2 Real Madrid 38 26 6 6 78:38 40 84
3 Atletico Madrid 38 22 10 6 68:30 38 76
4 Athletic Bilbao 38 19 13 6 54:29 25 70
5 FC Villarreal 38 20 10 8 71:51 20 70
6 Betis Sevilla 38 16 12 10 57:50 7 60
7 Celta Vigo 38 16 7 15 59:57 2 55
8 Rayo Vallecano 38 13 13 12 41:45 -4 52
9 CA Osasuna 38 12 16 10 48:52 -4 52
10 RCD Mallorca 38 13 9 16 35:44 -9 48
11 Real Sociedad 38 13 7 18 35:46 -11 46
12 FC Valencia 38 11 13 14 44:54 -10 46
13 FC Getafe 38 11 9 18 34:39 -5 42
14 Espanyol Barcelona 38 11 9 18 40:51 -11 42
15 Deportivo Alavés 38 10 12 16 38:48 -10 42
16 Girona 38 11 8 19 44:60 -16 41
17 FC Sevilla 38 10 11 17 42:55 -13 41
18 Leganes 38 9 13 16 39:56 -17 40
19 UD Las Palmas 38 8 8 22 40:61 -21 32
20 Real Valladolid 38 4 4 30 26:90 -64 16

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Last 5 games Athletic Bilbao home vs. FC Barcelona away
Athletic Bilbao Home FC Barcelona Away
Deportivo Alavés 1:0 0:2 Espanyol Barcelona
Manchester United 0:3 3:3 Inter Mailand
UD Las Palmas 1:0 1:2 Real Valladolid
Glasgow Rangers 2:0 3:1 Borussia Dortmund
Rayo Vallecano 3:1 0:1 CD Leganés

What's the betting tip for Athletic Bilbao vs FC Barcelona?

It's not just FC Barcelona who have every reason to celebrate. Because in our football predictions, we can also attest to Athletic Bilbao having a really strong 2024/25 season, which will definitely end in the Champions League in fourth place. And in one discipline, the home side are even top of the statistics: the Basques have only conceded 26 goals in their 37 matches to date - the best figure in La Liga. Bilbao have also only lost five games, which is also the lowest figure.

Last 5 results Athletic Bilbao
Date League Home Visitor Result Form
18.05.2025 Primera Division
FC Valencia
Athletic Bilbao
0:1 (0:0) S
15.05.2025 Primera Division
FC Getafe
Athletic Bilbao
0:2 (0:0) S
11.05.2025 Primera Division
Athletic Bilbao
Deportivo Alavés
1:0 (0:0) S
08.05.2025 UEFA Europa League
Manchester United
Athletic Bilbao
4:1 (0:1) N
04.05.2025 Primera Division
Real Sociedad
Athletic Bilbao
0:0 (0:0) U

The Basques keep successfully mixing concrete

Athletic Bilbao have only been beaten once at their own stadium, San Mames. However, the relatively high number of draws is also striking, with the Basques having drawn six times against their opponents. 13 times in total, which is the second-highest tally of the season. In La Liga, Athletic have not lost five times in a row. Even more interesting: Five times Bilbao even played to nil in the process. And eleven of the last twelve point games ended with an Under 2.5 goal rather less eventful.Alex Berenguer secured Athletic a narrow 1-0 win at Valencia FC last weekend. Bilbao had also won their last home game against Deportivo Alaves 1-0 thanks to an own goal.

Athletic Bilbao

System: 4-3-3.

Simón
de Marcos Vivian Álvarez Berchiche
Ruiz de Galarreta Jauregizar Olabarrieta
Canales Djaló Sannadi
WE RECOMMEND THE DOUBLE CHANCE 1X WITH QUOTE 1.75

How good is FC Barcelona's current form?

Today's betting tips will of course also focus on the new Spanish champions. They are with currently 99 goals on the verge of the 100-goal mark and therefore have by far the best forward line in the Primera Division. In comparison: Real Madrid in second place have only 76 goals. The Catalans have also collected the most wins. 27 in total in the 2024/25 season before the final matchday. Away from home, Barca also lost the least, only twice. The Spanish champions conceded the other four defeats at home.

Last 5 results FC Barcelona
Date League Home Visitor Result Form
18.05.2025 Primera Division
FC Barcelona
FC Villarreal
2:3 (2:1) N
15.05.2025 Primera Division
Espanyol Barcelona
FC Barcelona
0:2 (0:0) S
11.05.2025 Primera Division
FC Barcelona
Real Madrid
4:3 (4:2) S
06.05.2025 UEFA Champions League
Inter Mailand
FC Barcelona
3:3 (2:0) U
03.05.2025 Primera Division
Real Valladolid
FC Barcelona
1:2 (1:0) S

Villarreal spoil Barca's series and last home game

What else is interesting for your next betting tip from the Catalans' point of view? In their last home game, Barca had to accept a 2:3 defeat against FC Villarreal and thus messed up their farewell to their own fans. FC Barcelona had previously celebrated six consecutive victories. In addition, the new Spanish champions remained unbeaten in 17 consecutive matches, 15 of which they won. Barca have also scored at least twice four times in a row recently.The Catalans have fond memories of their last away game in La Liga. Barca clinched the championship with a 2-0 win in the derby at Espanyol on May 15.

FC Barcelona

System: 4-3-3.

ter Stegen
García Cubarsí Martínez Martín
Gavi Pedri Yamal
López Raphinha Lewandowski

Few goals and a positive H2H record for Bilbao in home games

We have saved the H2H comparison for the end of this betting tip analysis. Bilbao have a very good record in their 93 home games, with 43 wins and 22 draws, while Barcelona have only won 28 of them. Three of the last four encounters between these two teams in La Liga have ended with a maximum of one goal. In the first leg, the Catalans narrowly won 2-1 against Athletic Bilbao. The last clash in the Basque Country ended in a goalless 0-0 draw.

5 last games in direct comparison
Date League Home Visitor Result
08.01.2025 Spanien Super Cup
Athletic Bilbao
FC Barcelona
0:2 (0:1)
24.08.2024 Primera Division
FC Barcelona
Athletic Bilbao
2:1 (1:1)
03.03.2024 Primera Division
Athletic Bilbao
FC Barcelona
0:0 (0:0)
22.10.2023 Primera Division
FC Barcelona
Athletic Bilbao
1:0 (0:0)
12.03.2023 Primera Division
Athletic Bilbao
FC Barcelona
0:1 (0:1)

Comparison statistics last 10 events

Athletic Bilbao : FC Barcelona

6

Wins

5

1

Draw

3

3

Defeats

2

11

Goals scored

24

9

Goals received

21

12

Shots on target

8

Athletic Bilbao
46%
Ball possession
80%
Accuracy of passes
43%
Duels
won
FC Barcelona
52%
Duels
won
90%
Accuracy of passes
72%
Ball possession
Athletic Bilbao
16
Corners
6
Shots on target
24
Goal kicks
next to the goal
13
Goal kicks
blocked
22
Goal kicks
in the penalty area
21
Goal kicks
outside the penalty area
11
Offside
5
yellow cards
1
red cards
FC Barcelona
41
Corners
30
Shots on target
31
Goal kicks
next to the goal
21
Goal kicks
blocked
48
Goal kicks
in the penalty area
34
Goal kicks
outside the penalty area
5
Offside
3
yellow cards
0
red cards

Comparison of goal statistics of the last 10 matches

Athletic Bilbao
11
Goals scored
9
Goals received
ø 1,10
per game
+2
Goal difference
7 / 10
Games with goals
FC Barcelona
24
Goals scored
21
Goals received
ø 2,40
per game
+3
Goal difference
10 / 10
Games with goals
Odds probabilities
under 2.5 goals 35.86%
over 2.5 goals 64.14%
under 3.5 goals 50.99%
over 3.5 goals 49.01%
under 4.5 goals 72.24%
over 4.5 goals 27.76%
both teams to score - yes 66.48%
both teams to score - no 33.52%

Our prediction for Athletic Bilbao vs FC Barcelona

The strongest defense meets the best offense: In these expert tips, we have opted for the Under 2.5 because this has already happened in three of the last four meetings. Otherwise, we think Bilbao could spring a surprise and recommend the odds for the double chance 1X. Athletic have not conceded the fewest defeats in La Liga to date for nothing and also have a clearly positive record in home games against Barca in the H2H comparison.

Odd comparison Athletic Bilbao - FC Barcelona

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